The U.S. job market turned weaker last month, dashing hopes for an economic rebound.
A report from the Labor Department on Friday shows employers cut 92,000 jobs in February, when economists had expected the U.S. would continue adding jobs, albeit at a sluggish pace. The unemployment rate inched up to 4.4%.
Job gains for December and January were also revised downward, with December now showing a net loss 17,000 jobs.
The weaker than expected jobs report comes as Americans are already anxious about the high cost of living. Those affordability concerns will likely be amplified as the war in Iran has triggered a sharp rise in energy prices. AAA reports the average price of gasoline jumped another 7 cents overnight, to $3.32 a gallon. That’s 21 cents higher than this time last year.
This title is getting saved as something that needs to get addressed when we try to refund public funding. Im all for it, but I also know NPRs tone police are a key component to the normalization of today’s GOP.
What a year.
Unexpectedly?!
Exactly what dumbass didn’t expect this? Oh Magats that’s right
If they had long term memory they’d be very upset right now.
After the Great Financial Crisis it became clear to me that weasel word “economists” either have no idea what they’re doing, or don’t actually serve the public. These days I’m leaning more towards the latter.
Not to say that the greats like Adam Smith were unqualified. But the legion of yes-men who have been drinking corporate kool-aid since Nixon don’t work for us. Their job is to create a convincing narrative as to why it’s OK to have a visibly unhealthy economy.
Don’t trust unnamed “economists” in the news. Look for specific people who have predicted what the economy actually does, and listen to them.
2 days ago:
Employers added 63,000 jobs in February as the pace of job creation quickened and beat estimates, private payroll firm ADP said on Wednesday.
Economists had forecast a gain of 48,000 following January’s downwardly revised 11,000 increase – half the original estimate.
I expected that was all lies, so it’s still expected. Unless you believed the lies. But then that would be on you. I also expect that the job losses actually are well in excess of 100,000. There’s no way the administration would give anything but the flimsiest lowball number they think wouldn’t get called out immediately.
They’re not lies, they’re estimates based off of ADP statistics.
There’s 3 kinds of lies. Lies, damned lies, and statistics. Our unemployment numbers are purposefully bullshit and have been for years too.
Do you have any sources for that? I’d love to read up on it.
The TL;DR version is that the unemployment numbers that tend to get reported are U-3, whereas many people think the U-6 numbers are a more accurate reflection of the real experience.
The U-3 unemployment rate is the most commonly reported rate in the United States, representing the number of unemployed people actively seeking a job. Meanwhile, the U-6 rate covers discouraged, underemployed, and unemployed workers in the country.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/080415/true-unemployment-rate-u6-vs-u3.asp
Yes, their methodology. Exclusion of discouraged workers, part-time workers wanting full-time work, and strict “actively seeking work” definitions ensure the numbers don’t actually reflect the reality. But rather the more rosy fiction those in power wish to push.
So no resources that I can read?
Economists had forecast a gain of 48,000 following January’s downwardly revised 11,000 increase – half the original estimate.
That means the prediction was 22k new juobs, had just been decreased to 11k new jobs, and then shot up to 48k…
That’s not a sign that we should expect good things, that was a sign that someone may have caved from pressure after saying 11k.and went with a number that was obviously bullshit.
Apparently some people believed it tho, so I can admit when I’m wrong. I tend to overestimate people
Yeah, but the trend has been significant revision downward for months now. Anyone who’s been watching was expecting this.
Don’t worry everyone, the rich are doing just fine.
Whew
Better than ever in fact.
Unexpectedly.
You know, there are reasons I’m not employed as an econometrician any more.
Like telling people things they don’t wanna hear.
I’m done with tables and numbers and statistical models now.
Memes will suffice.
EDIT:
And if any fucking idiot shows up to use the phrase ‘Black Swan’, incorrectly, again, I’m gonna take them on a hunting trip like Dick Cheney would.
Oh no I might black swan my pants.
Ok, fine, you got me, that’s ‘wrong’ but not ‘wrong’ in the way that I meant.
No hunting trip for you.
Here, uh… Arbys, KFC, or Wendys?
Or, or! We could have a Pentagon Pizza Party!
Those are always so much fun!
Unexpectedly.
Exactly. Diaper Don tariffing everything that moves, for one, and sending “doge” in to fire tons of government workers:
Gosh and gee willickers, you mean that will have a negative impact on things?
–Murc’s Law Media and reactionary centrists everywhere
turns out the economy was underage
moved on her like a bitch
Don’t worry. I’m sure if we dump even more money into AI, somehow it will all be ok.
/s
what movie is this from?
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
“Somehow, Palpatine returned.”
Are there any more worries to be had? This only makes sense now if the top 10% is starting to worry about the top 1%. Most of us aren’t even in the game anymore (so let’s invent a new game that we can all play).
How long before the reporting of jobs numbers becomes illegal by EO and then there’s just vague statements of the economy is doing great, it’s gone up by billinty blollars just this past month! You’re not suffering, you’re efficiency maxing!
Remember GWB’s reaction to someone having THREE jobs?
You work three jobs? Uniquely American, isn’t it? I mean, that is fantastic that you’re doing that.
I’m imagining an administration with even less empathy reacting to people’s experiences under an economy imploded by PEDOnald combined with AI delusions run amok.
That’s a downwardly revised January gain of 126,000, and they had estimated a 50k gain for February. When was it we were told the Dow was over 50,000 again?
Phhht. Probably thought they’d fill those jobs with AI, since they’re so hard for it. Even though they have no freakin idea what it is or can do…
Or more likely they didn’t care to even fudge the numbers anymore because they plan on rigging every election to stay in power like the disgusting bloodsucking parasites like they are. They don’t care if you are unhappy because what are you gonna do…
My guess:
Tariffs
deleted by creator
Jealous …I wish I were deleted by creator…
Dontcha wanna see what happens though?
You can’t trick me. I read Galapagos.
