Dug a bit, and apparently this seat has literally never been held by a Republican; this is quite the misleading headline.
Her name is “Chasity”, by the way, not “Chastity”.
I generally ignore anything from News Week, Raw Story, or the Daily Beast. They all do stuff like this. They twist facts to get a story where there is none.
This shit is exactly how things were reported in the runup to the 2024 election. Even if they don’t fuck with the elections, I am confidently predicting the midterms are not going to be a blowout like people are hoping.
The Dems might, might, barely squeeze out a majority in the House. And then starts the age old game of having to capitulate to the 2-3 congresspeople who say they’re Dems but vote with the GOP every time.
Not a snowballs chance in hell of Dems winning the Senate.
People are going to be hit with a truck of reality come the mid terms. Not that they’ll learn anything. Next election will be the same shit of “we’re totally going to win guys!” before fizzling into nothing.
If you are hoping for the midterms for justice to be served against this administration, keep dreaming. It’s not going to happen. Ever. Trump will die before he ever sees the inside of a courtroom regarding Epstein. No matter who the next leadership is, they’ll choose to move on without giving any consequences in the name of “unity”.
And the people will grumble, and ultimately do absolutely nothing about it.
Who the fuck calls themself Chasity?
Nobody. Usually it’s the parents who decide their child’s name.
Not me, I got to pick my own name as a child. Admittedly, “Small-Weiner Stegosaurus” might have been a regrettable choice.
Chasity does.
Yet another over performance by Democrats - this was a Trump +14 district that voted D+24 yesterday.
In fucking* Louisiana. I love how that’s nowhere near the headline. Hilarious.
Democrat Chastity Verret Martinez has won the special election for Louisiana House District 60, defeating Republican challenger Brad Daigle by a wide margin in a district that supported President Donald Trump in 2024.
Take the wins where you can get them, but it’s worth noting the vacated seat was held by a Democrat. This isn’t a flip. The district traditionally learns blue at the local/state level, as per the article.
Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade, but the “oh my god those backwards Louisiana hicks actually voted for a Democrat?!” Narrative is needlessly divisive and kinda shitty. That district has been for years.
I think it’s the huge margin for the win, and this:
Voters in Louisiana’s 60th House District, which covers parts of Assumption and Iberville Parishes, have historically supported Democrats at the state and local level, but have shifted toward Republicans in federal elections in recent years. Trump carried the district by a 56‑43 margin in 2024 against former Vice President Kamala Harris, according to calculations by The Downballot. In Assumption Parish, Trump received 67.17 percent of the vote to Kamala Harris’ 31.57 percent, while Iberville Parish was closely divided, with Trump at 49.6 percent and Harris at 48.87.
For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.
In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.
Don’t get me wrong. It’s not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is “No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years”.
That still makes the 67% Trump got in 2024 really questionable. But nobody in charge has seemed to bat a fucking eye.
Why would it?
This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.
Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level… but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.
This result isn’t a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.
It’s a pretty purple district and, although Trump won big in this district, they tend to vote blue for the local stuff, and this Democrat replaced an incumbent democrat.
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this because it flies in the face of the “voting is useless, everything will be rigged” narrative that they push to validate not wanting to be involved.
Showing up at the polls is not our problem in the US, it’s getting people involved enough to actually learn about and read what candidates represent. We had the largest voter turnout in US history over the last couple elections, but people basically voted at random because they tuned out of the political chaos.
It’s far more clear this time around who is doing what to disrupt the status-quo in the US and I expect we’re going to see a massive swing in the opposite direction between this November and 2028.
I am 99% sure it is a CCP effort. Been tracking it for like a year now. Hard to track because it’s contagious.
For the love of God always call out doomers for being suspect. They’re not here because they’re feeling impending doom. They’re here to make you feel impending doom.
Russia/Israel/CCP. Almost all of the doomers are voting doesn’t work, why aren’t you starting a civil war, the dems are just gonna gaza harder than the turnip, etc.
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this because it flies in the face of the “voting is useless, everything will be rigged” narrative that they push to validate not wanting to be involved.
They don’t want to be involved in the actual democratic process, but they reeeeally don’t want to shut the fuck up about their irrelevant opinions.
I mean, Im on board with the message overall but I very much think people not getting to the polls is an issue. 90 million chose to sit out last general election. That is a HUGE problem IMO.
It’s still important to push the message to not be lazy about going out and doing the thing, especially in mid-terms which get far less turnout.
But that 89mil who did not vote in 2024 is very close to the average percentage that stays home every election anyway. My point is, the sampling of those who did vote, didn’t necessarily make me think that if uninterested people did show up, that it would have gone much different.
Of the people who were actually registered and voted in 2024, a vast number of the people who voted for Trump identified as Obama voters and Bernie supporters. People had basically discarded whatever political alignment more informed voters adhere to and just looked at the price of eggs at the time and associated that with Biden/Harris, and that was the most informed opinion shaping voting habits.
People did not watch debates. They did not pay attention to large news stories. They got most of their political news from social media; tweets and facebook memes in the small amount of time they spend scrolling content that isn’t entertainment. They did not know what either candidate was advocating and largely didn’t care, most thought it didn’t effect them either way.
This is all by design, and if we want to talk to about vote manipulation, this is the biggest issue, which is there are too many fake shills and sock-puppets all over social media, even here on Lemmy, who will adopt the stupidest or most radical takes on both sides of every issue until bystanders and browsers roll their eyes at the whole thing and tune out.
There are literally millions of people in India and other countries who farm Twitter for a few dollars every month by pushing rage-bait, arguing with people, pretending to be Americans and pretending to care about our future, while sharing propaganda and memes designed to make people hate political involvement.
Our biggest problem is not turnout but engagement and information.
Yes, lemmy.ml exists.
deleted by creator
not even the commie doomers can stop us now
yay democracy!!
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this
I will believe you if you can provide just 2 examples.
Yeah, this unfortunately. I’m a lot more pragmatic and actually try to vote
Because the DNC is emptying out the “victory fund” that neoliberals were stealing from state parties and hoarding to use to convince us to settle for neoliberals in the presidential…
The only reason Republicans are competitive for House/Senate majorities is for decades neoliberals sandbagged the party, and if you didn’t play ball they bankrupted your entire state and let Republicans take it to punish you and set an example to get there states.
That’s how Jeffries and Schumer got elected as majority leaders, going against them would hurt your constituents and the politicians. Whether you were ethical or not there wasn’t really a choice.
That’s been over for a year now
We’re literally a year deep in the largest reinvesture of funds from DNC to state parties, which has let them all run at campaign pevels.
We keep “over performing” because for the first time in 30 years the goal is as many seats as possible instead of a very slim majority so nothing would get done.
Which is why billionaire owned media keeps pretending this is “over performing” and not just what would normally happen if the oligarchs weren’t holding us back by shoving neoliberals down our throats.
But this is gonna keep happening, because it’s a fundamental change to the party that caused it.
But is it an overperform? Looking back to 2011, the strongest performance by a GOP for this specific seat is 38%, and it was this election, the last GOP candidate had 18% before this…
For whatever reason, local and presidential elections can very much swing differently, and in this example it clearly looks like you can’t read much of anything into the results since it has been different from presidential outcomes already…
Martinez campaigned on a platform focused on affordable insurance, stronger local infrastructure, and expanded access to health care, including mental health and substance-abuse services. She also focused on government transparency, support for public education, and advocacy for working families.
It’s almost like if you focus on the stuff that’s most important to the vast majority of voters, you’ll get more votes. Hmm…
What’s hilarious is that all feels like bottom of the barrel stuff, like we should just be doing that stuff by default.
That’s why America is stuck in the mud, it goes forward in progress and back to revisionism. It gives with one hand and takes back with the other. This is why a two party system is fraught with paradox. More lines of ascension means more dialogue and progress moves more steadily forward instead of being jerked back and forth. One party is not the solution any but those in power should wish for. There is a reason no one is ruled by a monarchy anymore.
Yeah Republicans are still trying to pull back bullshit from the New Deal.
Bro republicans are trying to pull back shit from the civil war
💯
“Comfortably”? A 10% margin is considered a landslide. Martinez won by 24 points.
Blatant political bias by Newsweek.
I’ve been burned too many times for real predictions, but I hope we’re about to need all new words for “blowout” soon.
Polling currently makes Democrats slight favourites, assuming election tampering efforts are not too successful.
You aren’t getting midterms, voting is so 2024.
I am so tired of this comment. Yes, I’m also worried about it. But this tired cliche doesn’t tell anyone anything they don’t already know, doesn’t raise any alarms or call anyone to any action, doesn’t do anything but spread more doomerism into an already oversaturated doomspace. It’s useless content, on the level of replying “first!” to a YouTube video circa 2013.
I’m sorry that you had to be the recipient of this tirade. But I swear, I see this comment several times every day, and I can’t help wondering, “so what do you want me to do about it? What are YOU doing about it?” No. We have to assume there will be an election until there isn’t, and then we have to respond. Until then, we have to help each other out and keep on doing what we can. We definitely don’t have to comment the same low-effort doom every time midterm elections are mentioned; it just demoralizes people and makes the Trump fascism machine seem inevitable and unstoppable.
Be aware: Newsweek spent the lead-up to the 2024 election telling us that we had nothing to worry about and that Harris was going to win.
This has been a consistent placating of the non-MAGAts.
Why miss the opportunity to say “bigly,” and rub in that bastard’s fascist face?
Why miss the opportunity to say “bigly,”
Because the goal isn’t to sound stupid?
This is the kind of result that the pedofile in chief will NOT consider a “honest” one. Just in case you were wondering.
Main stream media sucks so bad.
What was her platform?
