In fucking* Louisiana. I love how that’s nowhere near the headline. Hilarious.
Democrat Chastity Verret Martinez has won the special election for Louisiana House District 60, defeating Republican challenger Brad Daigle by a wide margin in a district that supported President Donald Trump in 2024.
Take the wins where you can get them, but it’s worth noting the vacated seat was held by a Democrat. This isn’t a flip. The district traditionally learns blue at the local/state level, as per the article.
Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade, but the “oh my god those backwards Louisiana hicks actually voted for a Democrat?!” Narrative is needlessly divisive and kinda shitty. That district has been for years.
I think it’s the huge margin for the win, and this:
Voters in Louisiana’s 60th House District, which covers parts of Assumption and Iberville Parishes, have historically supported Democrats at the state and local level, but have shifted toward Republicans in federal elections in recent years. Trump carried the district by a 56‑43 margin in 2024 against former Vice President Kamala Harris, according to calculations by The Downballot. In Assumption Parish, Trump received 67.17 percent of the vote to Kamala Harris’ 31.57 percent, while Iberville Parish was closely divided, with Trump at 49.6 percent and Harris at 48.87.
For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.
In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.
Don’t get me wrong. It’s not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is “No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years”.
This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.
Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level… but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.
This result isn’t a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.
It’s a pretty purple district and, although Trump won big in this district, they tend to vote blue for the local stuff, and this Democrat replaced an incumbent democrat.
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this because it flies in the face of the “voting is useless, everything will be rigged” narrative that they push to validate not wanting to be involved.
Showing up at the polls is not our problem in the US, it’s getting people involved enough to actually learn about and read what candidates represent. We had the largest voter turnout in US history over the last couple elections, but people basically voted at random because they tuned out of the political chaos.
It’s far more clear this time around who is doing what to disrupt the status-quo in the US and I expect we’re going to see a massive swing in the opposite direction between this November and 2028.
I am 99% sure it is a CCP effort. Been tracking it for like a year now. Hard to track because it’s contagious.
For the love of God always call out doomers for being suspect. They’re not here because they’re feeling impending doom. They’re here to make you feel impending doom.
Russia/Israel/CCP. Almost all of the doomers are voting doesn’t work, why aren’t you starting a civil war, the dems are just gonna gaza harder than the turnip, etc.
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this because it flies in the face of the “voting is useless, everything will be rigged” narrative that they push to validate not wanting to be involved.
They don’t want to be involved in the actual democratic process, but they reeeeally don’t want to shut the fuck up about their irrelevant opinions.
I mean, Im on board with the message overall but I very much think people not getting to the polls is an issue. 90 million chose to sit out last general election. That is a HUGE problem IMO.
It’s still important to push the message to not be lazy about going out and doing the thing, especially in mid-terms which get far less turnout.
But that 89mil who did not vote in 2024 is very close to the average percentage that stays home every election anyway. My point is, the sampling of those who did vote, didn’t necessarily make me think that if uninterested people did show up, that it would have gone much different.
Of the people who were actually registered and voted in 2024, a vast number of the people who voted for Trump identified as Obama voters and Bernie supporters. People had basically discarded whatever political alignment more informed voters adhere to and just looked at the price of eggs at the time and associated that with Biden/Harris, and that was the most informed opinion shaping voting habits.
People did not watch debates. They did not pay attention to large news stories. They got most of their political news from social media; tweets and facebook memes in the small amount of time they spend scrolling content that isn’t entertainment. They did not know what either candidate was advocating and largely didn’t care, most thought it didn’t effect them either way.
This is all by design, and if we want to talk to about vote manipulation, this is the biggest issue, which is there are too many fake shills and sock-puppets all over social media, even here on Lemmy, who will adopt the stupidest or most radical takes on both sides of every issue until bystanders and browsers roll their eyes at the whole thing and tune out.
There are literally millions of people in India and other countries who farm Twitter for a few dollars every month by pushing rage-bait, arguing with people, pretending to be Americans and pretending to care about our future, while sharing propaganda and memes designed to make people hate political involvement.
Our biggest problem is not turnout but engagement and information.
Because the DNC is emptying out the “victory fund” that neoliberals were stealing from state parties and hoarding to use to convince us to settle for neoliberals in the presidential…
The only reason Republicans are competitive for House/Senate majorities is for decades neoliberals sandbagged the party, and if you didn’t play ball they bankrupted your entire state and let Republicans take it to punish you and set an example to get there states.
That’s how Jeffries and Schumer got elected as majority leaders, going against them would hurt your constituents and the politicians. Whether you were ethical or not there wasn’t really a choice.
That’s been over for a year now
We’re literally a year deep in the largest reinvesture of funds from DNC to state parties, which has let them all run at campaign pevels.
We keep “over performing” because for the first time in 30 years the goal is as many seats as possible instead of a very slim majority so nothing would get done.
Which is why billionaire owned media keeps pretending this is “over performing” and not just what would normally happen if the oligarchs weren’t holding us back by shoving neoliberals down our throats.
But this is gonna keep happening, because it’s a fundamental change to the party that caused it.
But is it an overperform? Looking back to 2011, the strongest performance by a GOP for this specific seat is 38%, and it was this election, the last GOP candidate had 18% before this…
For whatever reason, local and presidential elections can very much swing differently, and in this example it clearly looks like you can’t read much of anything into the results since it has been different from presidential outcomes already…
Yet another over performance by Democrats - this was a Trump +14 district that voted D+24 yesterday.
In fucking* Louisiana. I love how that’s nowhere near the headline. Hilarious.
Take the wins where you can get them, but it’s worth noting the vacated seat was held by a Democrat. This isn’t a flip. The district traditionally learns blue at the local/state level, as per the article.
Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade, but the “oh my god those backwards Louisiana hicks actually voted for a Democrat?!” Narrative is needlessly divisive and kinda shitty. That district has been for years.
I think it’s the huge margin for the win, and this:
For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.
In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.
Don’t get me wrong. It’s not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is “No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years”.
That still makes the 67% Trump got in 2024 really questionable. But nobody in charge has seemed to bat a fucking eye.
Why would it?
This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.
Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level… but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.
This result isn’t a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.
It’s a pretty purple district and, although Trump won big in this district, they tend to vote blue for the local stuff, and this Democrat replaced an incumbent democrat.
There are a lot of really miserable, insufferable kids on Lemmy right now seething about this because it flies in the face of the “voting is useless, everything will be rigged” narrative that they push to validate not wanting to be involved.
Showing up at the polls is not our problem in the US, it’s getting people involved enough to actually learn about and read what candidates represent. We had the largest voter turnout in US history over the last couple elections, but people basically voted at random because they tuned out of the political chaos.
It’s far more clear this time around who is doing what to disrupt the status-quo in the US and I expect we’re going to see a massive swing in the opposite direction between this November and 2028.
I am 99% sure it is a CCP effort. Been tracking it for like a year now. Hard to track because it’s contagious.
For the love of God always call out doomers for being suspect. They’re not here because they’re feeling impending doom. They’re here to make you feel impending doom.
Russia/Israel/CCP. Almost all of the doomers are voting doesn’t work, why aren’t you starting a civil war, the dems are just gonna gaza harder than the turnip, etc.
They don’t want to be involved in the actual democratic process, but they reeeeally don’t want to shut the fuck up about their irrelevant opinions.
I mean, Im on board with the message overall but I very much think people not getting to the polls is an issue. 90 million chose to sit out last general election. That is a HUGE problem IMO.
It’s still important to push the message to not be lazy about going out and doing the thing, especially in mid-terms which get far less turnout.
But that 89mil who did not vote in 2024 is very close to the average percentage that stays home every election anyway. My point is, the sampling of those who did vote, didn’t necessarily make me think that if uninterested people did show up, that it would have gone much different.
Of the people who were actually registered and voted in 2024, a vast number of the people who voted for Trump identified as Obama voters and Bernie supporters. People had basically discarded whatever political alignment more informed voters adhere to and just looked at the price of eggs at the time and associated that with Biden/Harris, and that was the most informed opinion shaping voting habits.
People did not watch debates. They did not pay attention to large news stories. They got most of their political news from social media; tweets and facebook memes in the small amount of time they spend scrolling content that isn’t entertainment. They did not know what either candidate was advocating and largely didn’t care, most thought it didn’t effect them either way.
This is all by design, and if we want to talk to about vote manipulation, this is the biggest issue, which is there are too many fake shills and sock-puppets all over social media, even here on Lemmy, who will adopt the stupidest or most radical takes on both sides of every issue until bystanders and browsers roll their eyes at the whole thing and tune out.
There are literally millions of people in India and other countries who farm Twitter for a few dollars every month by pushing rage-bait, arguing with people, pretending to be Americans and pretending to care about our future, while sharing propaganda and memes designed to make people hate political involvement.
Our biggest problem is not turnout but engagement and information.
Yes, lemmy.ml exists.
deleted by creator
Yeah, this unfortunately. I’m a lot more pragmatic and actually try to vote
not even the commie doomers can stop us now
yay democracy!!
I will believe you if you can provide just 2 examples.
Because the DNC is emptying out the “victory fund” that neoliberals were stealing from state parties and hoarding to use to convince us to settle for neoliberals in the presidential…
The only reason Republicans are competitive for House/Senate majorities is for decades neoliberals sandbagged the party, and if you didn’t play ball they bankrupted your entire state and let Republicans take it to punish you and set an example to get there states.
That’s how Jeffries and Schumer got elected as majority leaders, going against them would hurt your constituents and the politicians. Whether you were ethical or not there wasn’t really a choice.
That’s been over for a year now
We’re literally a year deep in the largest reinvesture of funds from DNC to state parties, which has let them all run at campaign pevels.
We keep “over performing” because for the first time in 30 years the goal is as many seats as possible instead of a very slim majority so nothing would get done.
Which is why billionaire owned media keeps pretending this is “over performing” and not just what would normally happen if the oligarchs weren’t holding us back by shoving neoliberals down our throats.
But this is gonna keep happening, because it’s a fundamental change to the party that caused it.
But is it an overperform? Looking back to 2011, the strongest performance by a GOP for this specific seat is 38%, and it was this election, the last GOP candidate had 18% before this…
For whatever reason, local and presidential elections can very much swing differently, and in this example it clearly looks like you can’t read much of anything into the results since it has been different from presidential outcomes already…