This “event”? The protests have been going on for couple of weeks now. Here’s one poll done after some schools were burned. You can see a bump for Le Pen. It will be even bigger bump in the next polls.
Ifop is also called opif here, which basically means random.
Anyway far right is always way overestimated in France. When election come they go down 15%. Lookup 2022 presidency. The far left is also heavily underestimated. Center is inflated too vs real results (France dems kinda)
This time over, the far left is much higher. Whatever the poll says, Le Pen might very well not even make it past the 1st round
Ok, so there are recent poll, just not the ones you like? Also, I’m not talking about how accurate the polls are overall, just that Le Pen advantage grew after the protests and that it will probably keep growing as the protests get more violent.
So far all the protesters in France achieved is a bump in the polls for Le Pen. Yay!
Litterally no poll was done from data after this event yet.
This “event”? The protests have been going on for couple of weeks now. Here’s one poll done after some schools were burned. You can see a bump for Le Pen. It will be even bigger bump in the next polls.
Ifop is also called opif here, which basically means random.
Anyway far right is always way overestimated in France. When election come they go down 15%. Lookup 2022 presidency. The far left is also heavily underestimated. Center is inflated too vs real results (France dems kinda)
This time over, the far left is much higher. Whatever the poll says, Le Pen might very well not even make it past the 1st round
Ok, so there are recent poll, just not the ones you like? Also, I’m not talking about how accurate the polls are overall, just that Le Pen advantage grew after the protests and that it will probably keep growing as the protests get more violent.